1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:06,550 [Music] 2 00:00:11,190 --> 00:00:08,390 welcome to the skeptic zone 3 00:00:16,840 --> 00:00:11,200 the podcast from australia for science 4 00:00:23,189 --> 00:00:16,850 and reason 5 00:00:25,109 --> 00:00:23,199 [Music] 6 00:00:27,750 --> 00:00:25,119 yes it's the skeptic zone podcast 7 00:00:30,790 --> 00:00:27,760 episode number 641 8 00:00:32,870 --> 00:00:30,800 for the 24th of january 2021 9 00:00:35,350 --> 00:00:32,880 richard saunders coming to you from heat 10 00:00:36,790 --> 00:00:35,360 wave sydney australia 11 00:00:38,630 --> 00:00:36,800 yes we're in for two or three days of 12 00:00:41,270 --> 00:00:38,640 well above average temperature 13 00:00:42,229 --> 00:00:41,280 so i'm hunkered down here in the 14 00:00:46,310 --> 00:00:42,239 skeptic's own 15 00:00:49,430 --> 00:00:46,320 studio air conditioning on sometimes 16 00:00:51,270 --> 00:00:49,440 and the curtains are drawn coming up on 17 00:00:53,189 --> 00:00:51,280 this week's show we look at psychic 18 00:00:55,910 --> 00:00:53,199 predictions 19 00:00:57,670 --> 00:00:55,920 not for the future but for the past well 20 00:00:58,549 --> 00:00:57,680 when they were made they were predicting 21 00:01:00,709 --> 00:00:58,559 the future 22 00:01:01,590 --> 00:01:00,719 psychic predictions involving donald 23 00:01:03,830 --> 00:01:01,600 trump 24 00:01:05,030 --> 00:01:03,840 we go back 20 years well over the last 25 00:01:07,670 --> 00:01:05,040 20 years and 26 00:01:08,550 --> 00:01:07,680 look into the great australian 27 00:01:11,030 --> 00:01:08,560 prediction 28 00:01:12,950 --> 00:01:11,040 project database and see how many 29 00:01:14,950 --> 00:01:12,960 psychics here in australia were making 30 00:01:17,910 --> 00:01:14,960 predictions about donald trump 31 00:01:19,429 --> 00:01:17,920 it's time to mark their homework and i 32 00:01:21,109 --> 00:01:19,439 must say a big thank you to all the 33 00:01:22,310 --> 00:01:21,119 people who helped me every week on the 34 00:01:26,070 --> 00:01:22,320 great australian prediction 35 00:01:30,069 --> 00:01:26,080 project and incidentally susan gerbic 36 00:01:33,270 --> 00:01:30,079 sent me a little note to say that 37 00:01:35,270 --> 00:01:33,280 the page views that 38 00:01:36,870 --> 00:01:35,280 the pages that the guerrilla skeptics on 39 00:01:40,630 --> 00:01:36,880 wikipedia have worked on 40 00:01:43,830 --> 00:01:40,640 they're about to hit 80 million 41 00:01:46,789 --> 00:01:43,840 80 million page views 42 00:01:48,710 --> 00:01:46,799 just incredible coming up after those 43 00:01:50,469 --> 00:01:48,720 donald trump predictions we have logical 44 00:01:51,590 --> 00:01:50,479 fallacies with michelle bakersma hello 45 00:01:55,749 --> 00:01:51,600 michelle 46 00:01:57,990 --> 00:01:55,759 perfect solution fallacy 47 00:01:59,590 --> 00:01:58,000 then we have some very encouraging news 48 00:02:00,389 --> 00:01:59,600 about vaccination rates here in 49 00:02:03,429 --> 00:02:00,399 australia 50 00:02:04,789 --> 00:02:03,439 a story written by jane hansen and to 51 00:02:08,869 --> 00:02:04,799 round off the show 52 00:02:12,070 --> 00:02:08,879 our continuing series into the unknown 53 00:02:13,990 --> 00:02:12,080 into the unknown from the trove archives 54 00:02:17,510 --> 00:02:14,000 and this is the reports of testing 55 00:02:19,110 --> 00:02:17,520 psychics way back in the 1950s 56 00:02:21,270 --> 00:02:19,120 now before we get stuck into the show a 57 00:02:24,630 --> 00:02:21,280 couple of nights ago i had a 58 00:02:28,150 --> 00:02:24,640 great uh great time with maynard over at 59 00:02:31,750 --> 00:02:28,160 leslow studios where we do our regular 60 00:02:33,110 --> 00:02:31,760 uh quiz main arts we don't care quiz 61 00:02:35,509 --> 00:02:33,120 which used to be called maynard's 62 00:02:36,470 --> 00:02:35,519 mastermind quiz and that's a live quiz 63 00:02:39,270 --> 00:02:36,480 you can watch and 64 00:02:40,150 --> 00:02:39,280 uh take part in every now and then 65 00:02:43,589 --> 00:02:40,160 online 66 00:02:45,830 --> 00:02:43,599 best to check out maynard.com in fact if 67 00:02:48,070 --> 00:02:45,840 you go to maynard's facebook page 68 00:02:49,350 --> 00:02:48,080 you'll be able to see that uh that quiz 69 00:02:50,949 --> 00:02:49,360 in action 70 00:02:53,750 --> 00:02:50,959 it's the world's well it's one it must 71 00:02:56,229 --> 00:02:53,760 be one of the world's tiniest tv studios 72 00:02:57,270 --> 00:02:56,239 but what a lot of fun that was but now 73 00:03:00,470 --> 00:02:57,280 it's time for me to 74 00:03:02,229 --> 00:03:00,480 run downstairs run out the door 75 00:03:04,070 --> 00:03:02,239 and water the plants because it's going 76 00:03:07,509 --> 00:03:04,080 to be a stinking hot 77 00:03:09,910 --> 00:03:07,519 day and i'm not a big one for gardening 78 00:03:12,630 --> 00:03:09,920 but i know some people really love it 79 00:03:13,670 --> 00:03:12,640 and it means a lot to them my dad was a 80 00:03:15,990 --> 00:03:13,680 great gardener 81 00:03:17,670 --> 00:03:16,000 so if you're gardening away in this heat 82 00:03:20,630 --> 00:03:17,680 don't get out 83 00:03:21,990 --> 00:03:20,640 get out of the sun enjoy your garden 84 00:03:23,990 --> 00:03:22,000 anyway 85 00:03:25,670 --> 00:03:24,000 but on my way back from watering the 86 00:03:27,030 --> 00:03:25,680 plants i think i'll get some nice uh 87 00:03:29,910 --> 00:03:27,040 what will i have today some nice 88 00:03:30,949 --> 00:03:29,920 rice and tuna while i'm doing all that i 89 00:03:31,910 --> 00:03:30,959 hope you enjoy 90 00:03:57,270 --> 00:03:31,920 the skeptic zone 91 00:04:01,350 --> 00:03:59,190 what a week it's been what a week it's 92 00:04:02,630 --> 00:04:01,360 been with the events happening in 93 00:04:05,270 --> 00:04:02,640 washington 94 00:04:08,070 --> 00:04:05,280 and we might find ourselves asking the 95 00:04:10,630 --> 00:04:08,080 question who could have predicted that 96 00:04:12,830 --> 00:04:10,640 no matter what that is in this case it's 97 00:04:15,990 --> 00:04:12,840 who could have predicted all the 98 00:04:18,629 --> 00:04:16,000 craziness the interesting goings on 99 00:04:20,789 --> 00:04:18,639 with the trump administration over the 100 00:04:22,950 --> 00:04:20,799 past four years 101 00:04:24,550 --> 00:04:22,960 well let's turn to the great australian 102 00:04:27,909 --> 00:04:24,560 prediction project 103 00:04:29,749 --> 00:04:27,919 which covers north of three 000 104 00:04:31,749 --> 00:04:29,759 psychic and clairvoyant predictions 105 00:04:33,430 --> 00:04:31,759 going back 20 years 106 00:04:36,150 --> 00:04:33,440 and i'll turn to the database which i've 107 00:04:39,189 --> 00:04:36,160 been working on with the dedicated crew 108 00:04:40,469 --> 00:04:39,199 every week and uh what does this say it 109 00:04:43,010 --> 00:04:40,479 says 110 00:04:45,230 --> 00:04:43,020 we have currently archived 111 00:04:47,590 --> 00:04:45,240 [Music] 112 00:04:52,310 --> 00:04:47,600 3194 predictions 113 00:04:56,629 --> 00:04:52,320 we have analyzed 2474 of them 114 00:04:59,830 --> 00:04:56,639 so we only have 722 to do 115 00:05:02,230 --> 00:04:59,840 but if i run a search in this database 116 00:05:04,070 --> 00:05:02,240 for donald trump let's have a look let's 117 00:05:05,590 --> 00:05:04,080 see some of the predictions made over 118 00:05:09,430 --> 00:05:05,600 the years 119 00:05:16,070 --> 00:05:09,440 and see if we can glean anything from 120 00:05:19,189 --> 00:05:18,070 the first mention of donald trump in the 121 00:05:22,950 --> 00:05:19,199 database comes 122 00:05:25,909 --> 00:05:22,960 way back in the year 2004 123 00:05:29,510 --> 00:05:25,919 by georgina walker published in the new 124 00:05:33,430 --> 00:05:29,520 idea magazine in september 2004 125 00:05:38,150 --> 00:05:33,440 and bear with me here it is under the 126 00:05:41,189 --> 00:05:38,160 broad topic of natural disasters oh yes 127 00:05:43,510 --> 00:05:41,199 it says donald trump has continued to 128 00:05:45,189 --> 00:05:43,520 magnify his success in flamboyance and 129 00:05:46,950 --> 00:05:45,199 style 130 00:05:48,870 --> 00:05:46,960 yet there is one force that he will 131 00:05:51,110 --> 00:05:48,880 never be able to beat 132 00:05:53,350 --> 00:05:51,120 when mother nature decides to shake her 133 00:05:56,150 --> 00:05:53,360 booty 134 00:05:57,350 --> 00:05:56,160 donald trump will have a misfortune on 135 00:05:59,270 --> 00:05:57,360 his plate 136 00:06:01,430 --> 00:05:59,280 i see an earthquake shaking the ground 137 00:06:02,230 --> 00:06:01,440 violently a building with a very large 138 00:06:05,990 --> 00:06:02,240 split 139 00:06:08,870 --> 00:06:06,000 and i hear the number seven i feel there 140 00:06:09,830 --> 00:06:08,880 are subways underneath the building 141 00:06:12,390 --> 00:06:09,840 which at first 142 00:06:14,629 --> 00:06:12,400 may mask what is really occurring 143 00:06:16,550 --> 00:06:14,639 tremors before the big one 144 00:06:18,469 --> 00:06:16,560 i see water gushing through the streets 145 00:06:20,950 --> 00:06:18,479 with burst water mains 146 00:06:22,950 --> 00:06:20,960 let's hope donald is well prepared for 147 00:06:26,309 --> 00:06:22,960 the forces of mother nature 148 00:06:30,150 --> 00:06:26,319 and is adequately insured 149 00:06:32,150 --> 00:06:30,160 well needless to say in our 150 00:06:34,550 --> 00:06:32,160 column in the database which we put our 151 00:06:37,909 --> 00:06:34,560 verdict the verdict here is 152 00:06:39,909 --> 00:06:37,919 wrong with the note no such event 153 00:06:41,590 --> 00:06:39,919 reported 154 00:06:43,590 --> 00:06:41,600 now the next mention of donald trump 155 00:06:47,029 --> 00:06:43,600 comes not surprisingly 156 00:06:49,189 --> 00:06:47,039 in the year 2016 so it's quite a big gap 157 00:06:51,670 --> 00:06:49,199 as in 2016 trump of course was making 158 00:06:55,189 --> 00:06:51,680 his run for the presidency 159 00:06:58,950 --> 00:06:55,199 and we have harry t 160 00:07:03,270 --> 00:06:58,960 who on the today tv show in june 161 00:07:06,150 --> 00:07:03,280 2016 predicted this 162 00:07:07,350 --> 00:07:06,160 trump or hillary for the u.s federal 163 00:07:10,710 --> 00:07:07,360 election 164 00:07:12,309 --> 00:07:10,720 and his prediction was hillary well we 165 00:07:15,350 --> 00:07:12,319 know what happened there 166 00:07:18,390 --> 00:07:15,360 also in 2016 raylene cable on 167 00:07:22,870 --> 00:07:18,400 mtv and mtv video in august 168 00:07:24,390 --> 00:07:22,880 predicted donald trump assassination 169 00:07:26,070 --> 00:07:24,400 now this is a little bit vague i mean 170 00:07:29,990 --> 00:07:26,080 there's no 171 00:07:31,670 --> 00:07:30,000 time given here but i sort of figured if 172 00:07:32,950 --> 00:07:31,680 he wasn't assassinated before he was 173 00:07:36,390 --> 00:07:32,960 president 174 00:07:38,309 --> 00:07:36,400 or during his presidency then i'll 175 00:07:39,990 --> 00:07:38,319 probably have to mark that as wrong the 176 00:07:43,270 --> 00:07:40,000 next one comes from 177 00:07:46,469 --> 00:07:43,280 yuji thing who on sky news 178 00:07:48,950 --> 00:07:46,479 in 2016 said donald trump 179 00:07:49,749 --> 00:07:48,960 to win the 2016 election so we'll score 180 00:07:54,390 --> 00:07:49,759 that up as a 181 00:07:55,749 --> 00:07:54,400 hit for him now we move to the year 2017 182 00:07:57,430 --> 00:07:55,759 and this prediction would have been 183 00:08:00,950 --> 00:07:57,440 written just after 184 00:08:02,869 --> 00:08:00,960 trump won the election 185 00:08:04,710 --> 00:08:02,879 published in the international psychics 186 00:08:07,749 --> 00:08:04,720 directory by elizabeth 187 00:08:10,950 --> 00:08:07,759 jensen or jensen 188 00:08:14,070 --> 00:08:10,960 and it says there will be 189 00:08:15,990 --> 00:08:14,080 several last-minute attempts to stop 190 00:08:17,909 --> 00:08:16,000 donald trump becoming president of the 191 00:08:21,029 --> 00:08:17,919 united states of america 192 00:08:21,749 --> 00:08:21,039 if he successfully overcomes these he 193 00:08:23,990 --> 00:08:21,759 will not 194 00:08:25,029 --> 00:08:24,000 last in the role for more than a few 195 00:08:28,070 --> 00:08:25,039 months 196 00:08:30,070 --> 00:08:28,080 well no sorry that's a wrong prediction 197 00:08:31,189 --> 00:08:30,080 kerry owen writing in the saint mary's 198 00:08:34,389 --> 00:08:31,199 mount druitt 199 00:08:37,990 --> 00:08:34,399 standard in late 2016 200 00:08:40,070 --> 00:08:38,000 wrote america is in for one big 201 00:08:41,509 --> 00:08:40,080 ride as the trump administration goes 202 00:08:45,350 --> 00:08:41,519 into power causing 203 00:08:47,590 --> 00:08:45,360 great upheaval and creating instability 204 00:08:49,110 --> 00:08:47,600 with warring factions for the american 205 00:08:51,590 --> 00:08:49,120 people 206 00:08:53,670 --> 00:08:51,600 now you might be tempted to say straight 207 00:08:54,550 --> 00:08:53,680 away wow that's absolutely correct she 208 00:08:57,190 --> 00:08:54,560 got it 209 00:08:57,990 --> 00:08:57,200 but another category we have in this 210 00:09:01,110 --> 00:08:58,000 database 211 00:09:03,590 --> 00:09:01,120 is the category of expected 212 00:09:05,509 --> 00:09:03,600 so if something is uh right if a 213 00:09:08,630 --> 00:09:05,519 prediction is right we say it's right 214 00:09:10,550 --> 00:09:08,640 if it's wrong we say it's wrong if it's 215 00:09:10,949 --> 00:09:10,560 expected to happen we simply put well 216 00:09:14,269 --> 00:09:10,959 that's 217 00:09:17,110 --> 00:09:14,279 expected to happen and by late 218 00:09:18,630 --> 00:09:17,120 2016 it was clear that the trump 219 00:09:20,389 --> 00:09:18,640 administration would be 220 00:09:23,110 --> 00:09:20,399 creating great upheaval and causing 221 00:09:25,829 --> 00:09:23,120 warring factions in the american people 222 00:09:27,670 --> 00:09:25,839 the next one we have is maria campbell 223 00:09:28,550 --> 00:09:27,680 riding in the eastern river arena 224 00:09:32,389 --> 00:09:28,560 chronicle 225 00:09:33,190 --> 00:09:32,399 in january 2016 ms campbell believes 226 00:09:35,509 --> 00:09:33,200 donald trump 227 00:09:36,710 --> 00:09:35,519 will not remain in power long and will 228 00:09:38,790 --> 00:09:36,720 be trumped 229 00:09:40,310 --> 00:09:38,800 by either hillary clinton or michelle 230 00:09:42,150 --> 00:09:40,320 obama 231 00:09:44,470 --> 00:09:42,160 well apart from making absolutely no 232 00:09:46,389 --> 00:09:44,480 sense at all that's wrong 233 00:09:48,949 --> 00:09:46,399 next one is by the same lady maria 234 00:09:50,949 --> 00:09:48,959 campbell writing a little bit earlier 235 00:09:53,590 --> 00:09:50,959 donald trump will not last as u.s 236 00:09:56,550 --> 00:09:53,600 president for some reason the word last 237 00:09:57,670 --> 00:09:56,560 is in quotes so i don't know what that 238 00:09:59,990 --> 00:09:57,680 means 239 00:10:02,150 --> 00:10:00,000 the next one is by astrologer milton 240 00:10:05,430 --> 00:10:02,160 black writing in the daily telegraph 241 00:10:09,030 --> 00:10:05,440 in late 2016 so december 242 00:10:10,230 --> 00:10:09,040 the 30th donald trump will make a good 243 00:10:12,870 --> 00:10:10,240 president 244 00:10:14,150 --> 00:10:12,880 and his cabinet will be the best the us 245 00:10:17,509 --> 00:10:14,160 has seen 246 00:10:18,069 --> 00:10:17,519 for years it took us quite a long time 247 00:10:20,150 --> 00:10:18,079 to 248 00:10:23,750 --> 00:10:20,160 really chew over that prediction and 249 00:10:25,670 --> 00:10:23,760 decide whether it was right or wrong 250 00:10:28,710 --> 00:10:25,680 the next prediction comes from philippa 251 00:10:30,870 --> 00:10:28,720 lee on the carl and jackie a radio show 252 00:10:32,630 --> 00:10:30,880 in november 2016 253 00:10:34,310 --> 00:10:32,640 and it seems to be a quote from a 254 00:10:36,870 --> 00:10:34,320 magazine meanwhile 255 00:10:37,509 --> 00:10:36,880 she had words of reassurance for the 256 00:10:39,430 --> 00:10:37,519 public 257 00:10:41,190 --> 00:10:39,440 in the wake of trump's election 258 00:10:43,670 --> 00:10:41,200 insisting quote 259 00:10:45,910 --> 00:10:43,680 i see it as a really good thing i think 260 00:10:46,710 --> 00:10:45,920 trump's going to bring transparency to 261 00:10:49,590 --> 00:10:46,720 the system 262 00:10:51,269 --> 00:10:49,600 end quote she said well i'll leave that 263 00:10:53,990 --> 00:10:51,279 up to you to guess if we put that as 264 00:10:56,790 --> 00:10:54,000 right or wrong 265 00:10:58,069 --> 00:10:56,800 now we come to 2018 so we're into the 266 00:10:59,910 --> 00:10:58,079 trump presidency 267 00:11:01,829 --> 00:10:59,920 elizabeth jensen once again in the 268 00:11:04,389 --> 00:11:01,839 international psychics directory 269 00:11:05,990 --> 00:11:04,399 donald trump will resign in 270 00:11:08,790 --> 00:11:06,000 approximately 271 00:11:09,829 --> 00:11:08,800 march 2018 as president of the united 272 00:11:13,910 --> 00:11:09,839 states of america 273 00:11:14,470 --> 00:11:13,920 before being impeached well as history 274 00:11:17,030 --> 00:11:14,480 shows 275 00:11:17,829 --> 00:11:17,040 he was certainly impeached more than 276 00:11:19,750 --> 00:11:17,839 once 277 00:11:21,990 --> 00:11:19,760 but the prediction is wrong because he 278 00:11:25,350 --> 00:11:22,000 didn't resign 279 00:11:26,470 --> 00:11:25,360 julie mackenzie in a youtube video 280 00:11:30,550 --> 00:11:26,480 published on 281 00:11:34,069 --> 00:11:30,560 the 1st of january 2018 trump will fail 282 00:11:35,030 --> 00:11:34,079 and attempt to get into the eu america 283 00:11:38,389 --> 00:11:35,040 having a say 284 00:11:39,750 --> 00:11:38,399 over the eu that last bit is a bit vague 285 00:11:41,430 --> 00:11:39,760 but certainly trump wasn't 286 00:11:43,509 --> 00:11:41,440 wasn't even attempting to get into the 287 00:11:45,750 --> 00:11:43,519 eu so that's wrong 288 00:11:47,910 --> 00:11:45,760 julie mackenzie wants more america is 289 00:11:51,350 --> 00:11:47,920 going to have a bit of a market crash 290 00:11:53,509 --> 00:11:51,360 that's going to happen over there a lot 291 00:11:54,470 --> 00:11:53,519 this is linked towards trump well apart 292 00:11:56,870 --> 00:11:54,480 from being 293 00:11:58,790 --> 00:11:56,880 a little bit wishy-washy and vague 294 00:12:00,870 --> 00:11:58,800 basically we've determined that that's 295 00:12:04,230 --> 00:12:00,880 wrong that really didn't happen 296 00:12:08,230 --> 00:12:04,240 harry t once more on the today tv show 297 00:12:11,990 --> 00:12:08,240 in late december 2018 donald trump 298 00:12:14,550 --> 00:12:12,000 will go to a non-ally country 299 00:12:16,470 --> 00:12:14,560 well that's a little bit hard to work 300 00:12:19,350 --> 00:12:16,480 out that prediction because 301 00:12:21,350 --> 00:12:19,360 when that prediction was made on tv 302 00:12:23,590 --> 00:12:21,360 trump was actually in iraq 303 00:12:24,949 --> 00:12:23,600 on one of his surprise visits but we 304 00:12:26,790 --> 00:12:24,959 need to double check on 305 00:12:29,190 --> 00:12:26,800 all that so at the moment that 306 00:12:32,230 --> 00:12:29,200 prediction is listed as 307 00:12:35,430 --> 00:12:32,240 unknown harry t once more 308 00:12:36,870 --> 00:12:35,440 donald trump will not be impeached well 309 00:12:39,829 --> 00:12:36,880 there you go 310 00:12:42,389 --> 00:12:39,839 we have julie mckenzie again on her 311 00:12:44,550 --> 00:12:42,399 youtube video in december 2018 312 00:12:46,069 --> 00:12:44,560 trump will go head to head with china 313 00:12:48,629 --> 00:12:46,079 big sanctions 314 00:12:49,590 --> 00:12:48,639 and we've put that in the expected 315 00:12:51,350 --> 00:12:49,600 column 316 00:12:53,110 --> 00:12:51,360 julie mckenzie wants more trump will 317 00:12:54,230 --> 00:12:53,120 create a new type of currency to use 318 00:12:57,350 --> 00:12:54,240 with italy 319 00:12:59,110 --> 00:12:57,360 cryptocurrency or barter no well 320 00:13:01,269 --> 00:12:59,120 we uh we're afraid we couldn't find 321 00:13:04,629 --> 00:13:01,279 anything that matched that 322 00:13:07,509 --> 00:13:04,639 rose smith published uh 323 00:13:09,430 --> 00:13:07,519 in something called 10 daily now i'll 324 00:13:11,590 --> 00:13:09,440 just make a little note here 325 00:13:13,350 --> 00:13:11,600 every time i read out a prediction in 326 00:13:15,509 --> 00:13:13,360 this database which i've 327 00:13:17,350 --> 00:13:15,519 transferred from its original source 328 00:13:20,629 --> 00:13:17,360 i've kept the original source 329 00:13:22,710 --> 00:13:20,639 so i have thousands of scans from 330 00:13:25,269 --> 00:13:22,720 newspapers magazines 331 00:13:27,509 --> 00:13:25,279 things like that and hundreds of video 332 00:13:28,389 --> 00:13:27,519 clips and audio clips from radio and tv 333 00:13:31,430 --> 00:13:28,399 shows 334 00:13:34,710 --> 00:13:31,440 so rose smith in 10 daily 335 00:13:38,389 --> 00:13:34,720 on the 27th of december 2018 336 00:13:42,790 --> 00:13:38,399 donald trump will not win in 2020 337 00:13:46,150 --> 00:13:42,800 aha one we can tick off as correct 338 00:13:47,110 --> 00:13:46,160 rose smith again donald trump resign out 339 00:13:51,189 --> 00:13:47,120 of the blue 340 00:13:53,670 --> 00:13:51,199 2019 or early 2020 oh oh well 341 00:13:55,590 --> 00:13:53,680 no that didn't happen one more from rose 342 00:13:59,189 --> 00:13:55,600 smith donald trump 343 00:14:02,230 --> 00:13:59,199 not to be impeached i'm sure donald 344 00:14:06,710 --> 00:14:02,240 trump wishes that prediction came true 345 00:14:10,949 --> 00:14:06,720 now we have allison maiden on hit 103.5 346 00:14:13,269 --> 00:14:10,959 cans radio in late 2019 donald trump 347 00:14:14,949 --> 00:14:13,279 assassination attempt well as far as i 348 00:14:15,670 --> 00:14:14,959 recall there was no assassination 349 00:14:18,870 --> 00:14:15,680 attempt 350 00:14:23,189 --> 00:14:18,880 on donald trump during his presidency 351 00:14:24,870 --> 00:14:23,199 we have julie mackenzie once more in her 352 00:14:26,310 --> 00:14:24,880 youtube video this time at the end of 353 00:14:28,230 --> 00:14:26,320 2019 354 00:14:29,990 --> 00:14:28,240 donald trump will go head-to-head with 355 00:14:33,189 --> 00:14:30,000 china and we've put that 356 00:14:34,150 --> 00:14:33,199 as expected julie mackenzie wants more 357 00:14:37,430 --> 00:14:34,160 donald trump 358 00:14:39,670 --> 00:14:37,440 scandal before the 2020 election 359 00:14:40,790 --> 00:14:39,680 and i think you can probably guess we've 360 00:14:45,110 --> 00:14:40,800 put that safely 361 00:14:47,509 --> 00:14:45,120 in the expected row 362 00:14:48,550 --> 00:14:47,519 julie mackenzie trump agreements with 363 00:14:52,470 --> 00:14:48,560 italy 364 00:14:56,470 --> 00:14:52,480 and that was listed as just too vague 365 00:14:59,590 --> 00:14:56,480 and yes so we do have one for 366 00:15:02,470 --> 00:14:59,600 a column four correct or right one 367 00:15:03,110 --> 00:15:02,480 for wrong one for expected one for two 368 00:15:07,110 --> 00:15:03,120 vague 369 00:15:07,590 --> 00:15:07,120 and one for unknown so each time we look 370 00:15:09,590 --> 00:15:07,600 at a 371 00:15:11,750 --> 00:15:09,600 uh a prediction we have to decide where 372 00:15:14,870 --> 00:15:11,760 they where they lie 373 00:15:17,509 --> 00:15:14,880 and some are very very hard to discover 374 00:15:19,829 --> 00:15:17,519 julie mackenzie once more trump handles 375 00:15:22,949 --> 00:15:19,839 major terrorism situation well 376 00:15:24,790 --> 00:15:22,959 and makes him look stronger 377 00:15:27,670 --> 00:15:24,800 i don't think we discovered anything 378 00:15:29,910 --> 00:15:27,680 like that julian mckenzie again trump 379 00:15:31,189 --> 00:15:29,920 not serving full second term due to 380 00:15:34,550 --> 00:15:31,199 illness 381 00:15:35,430 --> 00:15:34,560 incorrect julie mackenzie us president 382 00:15:38,829 --> 00:15:35,440 donald trump 383 00:15:43,910 --> 00:15:38,839 would be re-elected 384 00:15:45,990 --> 00:15:43,920 wrong trump again for julie mckenzie 385 00:15:47,509 --> 00:15:46,000 do stuff that's going to help with 386 00:15:50,069 --> 00:15:47,519 climate change 387 00:15:51,269 --> 00:15:50,079 i don't think so julie mackenzie again 388 00:15:53,350 --> 00:15:51,279 trump and putin to make 389 00:15:55,509 --> 00:15:53,360 agreement by the end of the year that 390 00:15:58,310 --> 00:15:55,519 would be by the end of last year 391 00:15:59,110 --> 00:15:58,320 put feud behind them well apart from 392 00:16:02,710 --> 00:15:59,120 being a little bit 393 00:16:05,430 --> 00:16:02,720 vague we've decided that's simply wrong 394 00:16:06,470 --> 00:16:05,440 julie mackenzie again trump wins 2020 395 00:16:08,150 --> 00:16:06,480 election 396 00:16:10,150 --> 00:16:08,160 well that certainly didn't happen julian 397 00:16:11,189 --> 00:16:10,160 mackenzie trump impeachment not 398 00:16:14,870 --> 00:16:11,199 important 399 00:16:17,110 --> 00:16:14,880 after trump deals with terror attack 400 00:16:19,189 --> 00:16:17,120 well the impeachment was important and 401 00:16:20,310 --> 00:16:19,199 there was no terror attack trump had to 402 00:16:22,629 --> 00:16:20,320 deal with 403 00:16:25,430 --> 00:16:22,639 julian mackenzie trump attempt on his 404 00:16:28,470 --> 00:16:25,440 life after the 2020 election 405 00:16:30,389 --> 00:16:28,480 and that in the last couple of days we 406 00:16:34,470 --> 00:16:30,399 can actually now officially mark 407 00:16:36,710 --> 00:16:34,480 as incorrect julian mckenzie again u.s 408 00:16:37,910 --> 00:16:36,720 president donald trump will sidestep the 409 00:16:41,990 --> 00:16:37,920 controversies 410 00:16:44,389 --> 00:16:42,000 that haunt him to be re-elected 411 00:16:46,389 --> 00:16:44,399 i think president biden would disagree 412 00:16:50,069 --> 00:16:46,399 with that prediction 413 00:16:53,749 --> 00:16:50,079 and finally we have nicholas ayulia 414 00:16:55,829 --> 00:16:53,759 in the perth now 415 00:16:58,230 --> 00:16:55,839 i think that's a magazine on the 3rd of 416 00:17:00,710 --> 00:16:58,240 january last year 2020 417 00:17:02,470 --> 00:17:00,720 bad news for donald trump suggesting he 418 00:17:04,309 --> 00:17:02,480 will be defeated in november's 419 00:17:07,510 --> 00:17:04,319 presidential election 420 00:17:10,549 --> 00:17:07,520 well a correct prediction there 421 00:17:12,390 --> 00:17:10,559 to round off the list of psychic 422 00:17:13,829 --> 00:17:12,400 and clairvoyant predictions made for 423 00:17:17,909 --> 00:17:13,839 donald trump over the past 424 00:17:18,870 --> 00:17:17,919 20 years now it's important to remember 425 00:17:22,150 --> 00:17:18,880 that there must 426 00:17:23,829 --> 00:17:22,160 surely be many more 427 00:17:25,350 --> 00:17:23,839 psychic predictions published in 428 00:17:28,470 --> 00:17:25,360 australia 429 00:17:29,990 --> 00:17:28,480 maybe appearances on tv or radio by a 430 00:17:31,029 --> 00:17:30,000 certain psychics and talking about 431 00:17:34,070 --> 00:17:31,039 donald trump 432 00:17:35,510 --> 00:17:34,080 it's a matter of what i can get to so if 433 00:17:37,190 --> 00:17:35,520 they're published in newspapers and 434 00:17:38,870 --> 00:17:37,200 magazines i've got a good hope of 435 00:17:39,990 --> 00:17:38,880 getting to them not all of them because 436 00:17:42,549 --> 00:17:40,000 that's a very 437 00:17:44,310 --> 00:17:42,559 hard thing to do but if someone appeared 438 00:17:46,710 --> 00:17:44,320 on a local radio station or 439 00:17:47,909 --> 00:17:46,720 or a tv show chat show or something like 440 00:17:49,750 --> 00:17:47,919 that in the morning 441 00:17:51,590 --> 00:17:49,760 there's a good chance i didn't see it or 442 00:17:55,590 --> 00:17:51,600 i don't have access to it 443 00:17:57,190 --> 00:17:55,600 but broadly speaking as a snapshot of 444 00:17:59,510 --> 00:17:57,200 psychic predictions 445 00:18:01,750 --> 00:17:59,520 dealing with donald trump we can see 446 00:18:04,390 --> 00:18:01,760 that in the list i read to you 447 00:18:05,110 --> 00:18:04,400 most were wrong there were a few vague 448 00:18:10,789 --> 00:18:05,120 and 449 00:18:14,070 --> 00:18:13,750 it's it's almost like these people were 450 00:18:17,430 --> 00:18:14,080 just 451 00:18:21,270 --> 00:18:17,440 making lots of guesses about the future 452 00:18:29,590 --> 00:18:21,280 and about donald trump and sometimes 453 00:18:31,909 --> 00:18:29,600 some of those guesses come true 454 00:18:32,789 --> 00:18:31,919 we might look at more predictions more 455 00:18:35,270 --> 00:18:32,799 people 456 00:18:36,150 --> 00:18:35,280 more categories in this project as the 457 00:18:39,190 --> 00:18:36,160 weeks go on 458 00:18:41,750 --> 00:18:39,200 and as we get to the end of the project 459 00:18:43,029 --> 00:18:41,760 in its entirety i keep saying that year 460 00:18:48,390 --> 00:18:43,039 after year and the project 461 00:18:49,909 --> 00:18:48,400 keeps growing i only got 722 to do 462 00:18:51,350 --> 00:18:49,919 and in the last couple of weeks i've 463 00:18:53,590 --> 00:18:51,360 certainly have learned a lot about how 464 00:18:56,150 --> 00:18:53,600 to use google sheets and formulas and 465 00:18:58,549 --> 00:18:56,160 searches and things like that it's 466 00:19:00,710 --> 00:18:58,559 almost tempting to keep going and 467 00:19:02,710 --> 00:19:00,720 keep a list now for all the predictions 468 00:19:05,029 --> 00:19:02,720 i can find for 2021 but of course the 469 00:19:06,870 --> 00:19:05,039 project has to have boundaries 470 00:19:08,150 --> 00:19:06,880 otherwise it will never be completed and 471 00:19:10,549 --> 00:19:08,160 the boundaries are 472 00:19:11,510 --> 00:19:10,559 predictions made for the year 2000 473 00:19:25,610 --> 00:19:11,520 onwards 474 00:19:28,950 --> 00:19:25,620 to the end of the year 2020. 475 00:19:33,029 --> 00:19:31,590 hi my name is joe thornley and i'd like 476 00:19:35,430 --> 00:19:33,039 you to join my co 477 00:19:36,870 --> 00:19:35,440 um i'd like you to listen to my podcast 478 00:19:39,190 --> 00:19:36,880 about cults 479 00:19:41,190 --> 00:19:39,200 called zealot it's available pretty much 480 00:19:43,990 --> 00:19:41,200 anywhere you find podcasts with further 481 00:19:46,150 --> 00:19:44,000 reading on the zealot facebook page 482 00:19:47,990 --> 00:19:46,160 each episode a guest joins me to talk 483 00:19:49,830 --> 00:19:48,000 about a specific cult where we answer 484 00:19:54,870 --> 00:19:49,840 the big questions like 485 00:20:03,669 --> 00:19:57,170 and does anyone think they're jesus 486 00:20:07,510 --> 00:20:05,270 pop over to my compound and have a 487 00:20:10,950 --> 00:20:07,520 listen i've just mixed up a fresh batch 488 00:20:10,960 --> 00:20:22,210 oh sell it 489 00:20:34,410 --> 00:20:32,789 [Music] 490 00:20:37,909 --> 00:20:34,420 logical fallacies 491 00:20:40,710 --> 00:20:37,919 [Music] 492 00:20:42,549 --> 00:20:40,720 what are logical fallacies and why is it 493 00:20:45,190 --> 00:20:42,559 important that critical thinkers should 494 00:20:47,510 --> 00:20:45,200 know about them 495 00:20:49,190 --> 00:20:47,520 a logical fallacy is an error we can 496 00:20:51,110 --> 00:20:49,200 make in reasoning 497 00:20:55,510 --> 00:20:51,120 but it usually crops up when we are 498 00:20:59,909 --> 00:20:57,590 some people might even knowingly use 499 00:21:00,789 --> 00:20:59,919 them to try and score cheap points in an 500 00:21:04,070 --> 00:21:00,799 argument 501 00:21:06,630 --> 00:21:04,080 due to intellectual laziness 502 00:21:08,470 --> 00:21:06,640 they are traps we can fall into but if 503 00:21:10,549 --> 00:21:08,480 we know what to look out for 504 00:21:15,110 --> 00:21:10,559 we can spot them when they occur and 505 00:21:20,310 --> 00:21:17,510 this time we'll look at the perfect 506 00:21:23,510 --> 00:21:20,320 solution fallacy 507 00:21:26,710 --> 00:21:23,520 the perfect solution is an all 508 00:21:28,230 --> 00:21:26,720 or nothing way of thinking unless the 509 00:21:31,110 --> 00:21:28,240 outcome is 100 510 00:21:32,870 --> 00:21:31,120 perfect the baby may well end up being 511 00:21:35,270 --> 00:21:32,880 thrown out with the bath water 512 00:21:36,070 --> 00:21:35,280 in other words the idea is being 513 00:21:39,510 --> 00:21:36,080 rejected 514 00:21:41,029 --> 00:21:39,520 altogether this can be a pitfall when 515 00:21:43,430 --> 00:21:41,039 making decisions 516 00:21:46,230 --> 00:21:43,440 especially if the right thing to do 517 00:21:49,029 --> 00:21:46,240 doesn't particularly appeal to us 518 00:21:50,070 --> 00:21:49,039 and we are looking for ways to justify 519 00:21:53,430 --> 00:21:50,080 our inaction 520 00:21:55,830 --> 00:21:53,440 to ourselves and others i'm not going to 521 00:21:59,029 --> 00:21:55,840 get vaccinated for covert 19 522 00:22:00,630 --> 00:21:59,039 the vaccination is only 95 effective and 523 00:22:02,470 --> 00:22:00,640 you need two doses 524 00:22:04,070 --> 00:22:02,480 look at all those health care workers 525 00:22:07,270 --> 00:22:04,080 who still caught it 526 00:22:10,149 --> 00:22:07,280 the 95 efficacy rate of 527 00:22:11,990 --> 00:22:10,159 some of the covert 19 vaccines is 528 00:22:14,630 --> 00:22:12,000 actually very high 529 00:22:16,470 --> 00:22:14,640 the fact that a person may fall into the 530 00:22:19,510 --> 00:22:16,480 five percent category 531 00:22:22,630 --> 00:22:19,520 and not achieve adequate protection 532 00:22:24,549 --> 00:22:22,640 is no reason to deem the vaccine not 533 00:22:26,950 --> 00:22:24,559 worth having 534 00:22:27,669 --> 00:22:26,960 the healthcare workers who caught covert 535 00:22:30,710 --> 00:22:27,679 19 536 00:22:32,950 --> 00:22:30,720 after their first inoculation had yet to 537 00:22:35,430 --> 00:22:32,960 receive their second dose 538 00:22:37,590 --> 00:22:35,440 and it may also be possible that they 539 00:22:40,789 --> 00:22:37,600 were already infected 540 00:22:43,510 --> 00:22:40,799 that small number of cases is also 541 00:22:45,510 --> 00:22:43,520 no reason to dismiss the vaccine 542 00:22:48,710 --> 00:22:45,520 outright 543 00:22:51,430 --> 00:22:48,720 also protesting that a vaccine is 544 00:22:52,230 --> 00:22:51,440 not a hundred percent effective is a 545 00:22:54,950 --> 00:22:52,240 classic 546 00:22:56,710 --> 00:22:54,960 argument of the anti-vaccination 547 00:23:00,230 --> 00:22:56,720 movement 548 00:23:02,310 --> 00:23:00,240 this mask is uncomfortable and not 100 549 00:23:03,830 --> 00:23:02,320 effective in reducing the spread of 550 00:23:06,470 --> 00:23:03,840 covert 19. 551 00:23:08,310 --> 00:23:06,480 i'm not going to bother wearing it 552 00:23:09,270 --> 00:23:08,320 despite not being a hundred percent 553 00:23:11,669 --> 00:23:09,280 effective 554 00:23:12,710 --> 00:23:11,679 mass squaring is advised by medical 555 00:23:15,830 --> 00:23:12,720 specialists 556 00:23:18,310 --> 00:23:15,840 to inhibit the aerosol spray responsible 557 00:23:22,149 --> 00:23:18,320 for the spread of the virus 558 00:23:24,789 --> 00:23:22,159 it isn't an all or nothing scenario 559 00:23:25,909 --> 00:23:24,799 all reduction in transmission helps to 560 00:23:29,110 --> 00:23:25,919 keep the pandemic 561 00:23:32,789 --> 00:23:31,510 how am i going to find an hour a day to 562 00:23:35,830 --> 00:23:32,799 exercise 563 00:23:37,270 --> 00:23:35,840 i'm just too busy and tired there's no 564 00:23:40,870 --> 00:23:37,280 point in bothering for just 565 00:23:43,510 --> 00:23:40,880 15 to 20 minutes the recommended amount 566 00:23:44,950 --> 00:23:43,520 of exercise is approximately one hour 567 00:23:47,990 --> 00:23:44,960 per day 568 00:23:51,110 --> 00:23:48,000 however when that isn't possible 569 00:23:51,669 --> 00:23:51,120 it's easy to convince ourselves not to 570 00:23:55,990 --> 00:23:51,679 make an 571 00:23:58,390 --> 00:23:56,000 effort and give up on exercising 572 00:24:00,310 --> 00:23:58,400 while we may not be able to achieve the 573 00:24:03,110 --> 00:24:00,320 maximum benefits 574 00:24:04,070 --> 00:24:03,120 exercising for a shorter time will still 575 00:24:07,430 --> 00:24:04,080 be of benefit 576 00:24:09,269 --> 00:24:07,440 to our health especially in contrast to 577 00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:09,279 the scenario of doing 578 00:24:14,470 --> 00:24:11,970 no exercise at all 579 00:24:16,870 --> 00:24:14,480 [Music] 580 00:24:19,430 --> 00:24:16,880 while we often want to make excuses to 581 00:24:20,870 --> 00:24:19,440 ourselves to avoid doing something we 582 00:24:23,430 --> 00:24:20,880 don't like 583 00:24:23,909 --> 00:24:23,440 or if we want to bolster an argument 584 00:24:25,750 --> 00:24:23,919 that 585 00:24:28,230 --> 00:24:25,760 really doesn't have the weight of 586 00:24:31,510 --> 00:24:28,240 evidence on our side 587 00:24:32,710 --> 00:24:31,520 it can be tempting to succumb to wanting 588 00:24:36,950 --> 00:24:32,720 a solution 589 00:24:40,390 --> 00:24:36,960 or situation to be perfect in every way 590 00:24:41,909 --> 00:24:40,400 however in reality we should weigh up 591 00:24:44,390 --> 00:24:41,919 the pros and cons 592 00:24:48,080 --> 00:24:44,400 and make better judgments that are not 593 00:24:50,950 --> 00:24:48,090 so simple and dismissive 594 00:24:53,110 --> 00:24:50,960 [Music] 595 00:24:55,669 --> 00:24:53,120 knowing a logical fallacy when you hear 596 00:24:57,909 --> 00:24:55,679 one and even knowing its name 597 00:24:59,269 --> 00:24:57,919 is important when arguing your point of 598 00:25:02,710 --> 00:24:59,279 view 599 00:25:05,110 --> 00:25:02,720 however you may come across as arrogant 600 00:25:05,909 --> 00:25:05,120 and not get very far if you call it out 601 00:25:08,230 --> 00:25:05,919 by name 602 00:25:10,390 --> 00:25:08,240 to your opponent when you hear it being 603 00:25:12,870 --> 00:25:10,400 used 604 00:25:13,669 --> 00:25:12,880 if your opponent calls you out for using 605 00:25:15,909 --> 00:25:13,679 one 606 00:25:18,950 --> 00:25:15,919 it's time to stop and think about how 607 00:25:21,110 --> 00:25:18,960 you are making your case 608 00:25:22,310 --> 00:25:21,120 use your knowledge of logical fallacies 609 00:25:25,110 --> 00:25:22,320 wisely 610 00:25:26,310 --> 00:25:25,120 and remember that even if your point of 611 00:25:28,630 --> 00:25:26,320 view is right 612 00:25:29,909 --> 00:25:28,640 and you know all the pitfalls in arguing 613 00:25:32,390 --> 00:25:29,919 your case 614 00:25:33,590 --> 00:25:32,400 it doesn't always mean you'll win on the 615 00:25:36,870 --> 00:25:33,600 day 616 00:25:42,470 --> 00:25:36,880 and as skeptics we must also remember 617 00:25:44,230 --> 00:25:42,480 that we too can be wrong at times 618 00:26:10,310 --> 00:25:44,240 i'm michelle bickersma from the vic 619 00:26:15,269 --> 00:26:13,990 dr harriet hall md known to thousands as 620 00:26:17,830 --> 00:26:15,279 the skeptoc 621 00:26:19,750 --> 00:26:17,840 a retired family physician and former 622 00:26:22,070 --> 00:26:19,760 air force flight surgeon 623 00:26:24,470 --> 00:26:22,080 she writes about medicine so-called 624 00:26:28,149 --> 00:26:24,480 complementary and alternative medicine 625 00:26:30,710 --> 00:26:28,159 science quackery and critical thinking 626 00:26:32,230 --> 00:26:30,720 harriet now has a free course a series 627 00:26:34,149 --> 00:26:32,240 of 10 video lectures 628 00:26:36,149 --> 00:26:34,159 on science-based medicine and 629 00:26:38,149 --> 00:26:36,159 alternative medicine 630 00:26:40,390 --> 00:26:38,159 the videos and an accompanying course 631 00:26:41,390 --> 00:26:40,400 guide can be found by following the link 632 00:26:44,909 --> 00:26:41,400 at 633 00:26:48,149 --> 00:26:44,919 skipdoc.info or by visiting 634 00:26:51,830 --> 00:26:48,159 web.randy.org educational 635 00:26:54,149 --> 00:26:51,840 dash modules dot html 636 00:26:55,990 --> 00:26:54,159 topics covered in the series are 637 00:26:59,190 --> 00:26:56,000 science-based medicine versus 638 00:27:02,630 --> 00:26:59,200 evidence-based medicine what is cam 639 00:27:05,510 --> 00:27:02,640 chiropractic acupuncture homeopathy 640 00:27:06,310 --> 00:27:05,520 naturopathy and herbal medicine energy 641 00:27:08,950 --> 00:27:06,320 medicine 642 00:27:09,909 --> 00:27:08,960 miscellaneous alternatives pitfalls in 643 00:27:12,789 --> 00:27:09,919 research 644 00:27:14,789 --> 00:27:12,799 and science-based medicine in the media 645 00:27:16,630 --> 00:27:14,799 and politics 646 00:27:18,789 --> 00:27:16,640 harriet covers each topic in a 647 00:27:21,669 --> 00:27:18,799 matter-of-fact no-nonsense way 648 00:27:22,630 --> 00:27:21,679 but sure to educate and entertain 649 00:27:38,960 --> 00:27:22,640 skeptdoc 650 00:27:45,510 --> 00:27:43,430 [Music] 651 00:27:49,070 --> 00:27:45,520 now here's some encouraging news brought 652 00:27:51,669 --> 00:27:49,080 to us by jane hansen writing for 653 00:27:54,950 --> 00:27:51,679 news.com.eu we're 654 00:27:57,430 --> 00:27:54,960 a world leader on jabs australian 655 00:28:00,070 --> 00:27:57,440 vaccination rate lauded 656 00:28:02,070 --> 00:28:00,080 and of course jane hansen won the barry 657 00:28:04,230 --> 00:28:02,080 williams award a couple years ago 658 00:28:06,070 --> 00:28:04,240 for skeptical journalism given out by 659 00:28:09,190 --> 00:28:06,080 the australian skeptics 660 00:28:13,190 --> 00:28:09,200 and this came out on the 24th of 661 00:28:14,389 --> 00:28:13,200 january 2021 australia has surpassed the 662 00:28:19,029 --> 00:28:14,399 immunization 663 00:28:20,149 --> 00:28:19,039 gold standard with 95.09 percent of 664 00:28:23,110 --> 00:28:20,159 vaccination rate 665 00:28:24,630 --> 00:28:23,120 for five-year-olds with 95 percent of 666 00:28:27,430 --> 00:28:24,640 the population vaccinated 667 00:28:30,470 --> 00:28:27,440 childhood diseases that can kill cannot 668 00:28:33,430 --> 00:28:30,480 get a foothold due to herd immunity 669 00:28:34,389 --> 00:28:33,440 just a decade ago vaccination rates were 670 00:28:38,149 --> 00:28:34,399 falling 671 00:28:40,310 --> 00:28:38,159 and in 2011 were at 89 percent 672 00:28:41,669 --> 00:28:40,320 for five-year-olds federal health 673 00:28:44,789 --> 00:28:41,679 minister greg hunt 674 00:28:47,750 --> 00:28:44,799 says these figures bode well for the 675 00:28:48,870 --> 00:28:47,760 covered vaccine rollout expected in late 676 00:28:51,990 --> 00:28:48,880 february 677 00:28:54,230 --> 00:28:52,000 quote we are obviously delighted it is 678 00:28:58,389 --> 00:28:54,240 the result of many years of hard work 679 00:29:00,789 --> 00:28:58,399 by many people and quote mr hunt said 680 00:29:02,789 --> 00:29:00,799 quote australia's immunization rates are 681 00:29:05,830 --> 00:29:02,799 world leading main quote 682 00:29:09,990 --> 00:29:05,840 the numbers began rising after a 683 00:29:13,430 --> 00:29:10,000 no jab no play campaign launched in 2013 684 00:29:16,310 --> 00:29:13,440 to counter low vaccination rates in 2015 685 00:29:17,430 --> 00:29:16,320 no jab no pay was introduced by the 686 00:29:19,110 --> 00:29:17,440 federal government 687 00:29:20,470 --> 00:29:19,120 which adopted a carrot and stick 688 00:29:22,630 --> 00:29:20,480 approach by 689 00:29:25,190 --> 00:29:22,640 withholding family payments to those who 690 00:29:27,110 --> 00:29:25,200 refuse to vaccinate their children 691 00:29:29,590 --> 00:29:27,120 children must meet immunization 692 00:29:29,990 --> 00:29:29,600 requirements to get family tax benefit 693 00:29:33,510 --> 00:29:30,000 part 694 00:29:36,070 --> 00:29:33,520 a or child care free assistance 695 00:29:37,990 --> 00:29:36,080 the initiative saw a year-on-year 696 00:29:40,710 --> 00:29:38,000 improvement in vaccination rates 697 00:29:41,990 --> 00:29:40,720 culminating in the latest december 698 00:29:45,350 --> 00:29:42,000 quarter figures 699 00:29:48,789 --> 00:29:45,360 of 95.09 percent for five-year-olds 700 00:29:51,190 --> 00:29:48,799 and 97.25 701 00:29:53,269 --> 00:29:51,200 for indigenous five-year-olds quote 702 00:29:56,710 --> 00:29:53,279 programs such as no jab 703 00:29:59,510 --> 00:29:56,720 no play and no jab no pay 704 00:30:01,190 --> 00:29:59,520 have played a critical role in that and 705 00:30:03,590 --> 00:30:01,200 quote mr hunt said 706 00:30:04,549 --> 00:30:03,600 quote those figures show australians 707 00:30:07,269 --> 00:30:04,559 have both the 708 00:30:10,070 --> 00:30:07,279 capacity and the will to lead the world 709 00:30:13,110 --> 00:30:10,080 in taking up covert 19 vaccinations 710 00:30:14,549 --> 00:30:13,120 as they recognize how important 711 00:30:17,990 --> 00:30:14,559 vaccination is 712 00:30:20,230 --> 00:30:18,000 and how it protects and saves lives 713 00:30:22,310 --> 00:30:20,240 end quote the president of the 714 00:30:23,350 --> 00:30:22,320 australian medical association dr omar 715 00:30:26,549 --> 00:30:23,360 khorshad 716 00:30:28,950 --> 00:30:26,559 said quote it's fantastic and i think it 717 00:30:29,909 --> 00:30:28,960 underpins the success of our vaccination 718 00:30:32,470 --> 00:30:29,919 program 719 00:30:34,630 --> 00:30:32,480 that is one of the best in the world 720 00:30:35,510 --> 00:30:34,640 which is why we are confident going into 721 00:30:37,830 --> 00:30:35,520 this new 722 00:30:39,029 --> 00:30:37,840 covered program that australia knows 723 00:30:41,350 --> 00:30:39,039 what to do 724 00:30:43,350 --> 00:30:41,360 and our regulator is very good at 725 00:30:45,190 --> 00:30:43,360 assessing safety in quote 726 00:30:46,549 --> 00:30:45,200 catherine hughes who has been a vaccine 727 00:30:48,789 --> 00:30:46,559 advocate since 728 00:30:50,870 --> 00:30:48,799 she lost her baby riley to whooping 729 00:30:53,029 --> 00:30:50,880 cough in march 2015 730 00:30:53,909 --> 00:30:53,039 said that she was thrilled at the 731 00:30:56,789 --> 00:30:53,919 figures 732 00:30:58,630 --> 00:30:56,799 quote what brilliant news i am so proud 733 00:31:00,870 --> 00:30:58,640 that so many australian parents 734 00:31:03,509 --> 00:31:00,880 are making the important decision to 735 00:31:05,750 --> 00:31:03,519 vaccinate their kids and quote she said 736 00:31:07,750 --> 00:31:05,760 quote this year families have had a 737 00:31:10,470 --> 00:31:07,760 taste of just how terrible 738 00:31:11,750 --> 00:31:10,480 uncontrolled infectious diseases can be 739 00:31:13,590 --> 00:31:11,760 and it's brilliant to see 740 00:31:16,549 --> 00:31:13,600 everyone taking vaccinations so 741 00:31:17,190 --> 00:31:16,559 seriously now it's also a reminder of 742 00:31:22,389 --> 00:31:17,200 how 743 00:31:23,750 --> 00:31:22,399 that while the anti-vaccination lobby 744 00:31:26,389 --> 00:31:23,760 are vocal 745 00:31:27,190 --> 00:31:26,399 they are definitely the minority end 746 00:31:29,509 --> 00:31:27,200 quote 747 00:31:30,310 --> 00:31:29,519 the national immunization coverage rate 748 00:31:34,710 --> 00:31:30,320 for all 749 00:31:38,789 --> 00:31:34,720 one-year-olds has grown to 94.85 750 00:31:40,950 --> 00:31:38,799 percent and that again comes to us from 751 00:31:43,750 --> 00:31:40,960 the daily telegraph written by 752 00:31:46,310 --> 00:31:43,760 jane hansen i think catherine hughes 753 00:31:46,950 --> 00:31:46,320 makes a very good point there that the 754 00:31:48,549 --> 00:31:46,960 uh 755 00:31:52,230 --> 00:31:48,559 the anti-vaxxers are certainly in the 756 00:31:55,269 --> 00:31:52,240 minority and have failed spectacularly 757 00:31:56,710 --> 00:31:55,279 hmm i don't know anti-vaxxers 758 00:31:58,630 --> 00:31:56,720 if you're listening to this as you 759 00:32:00,710 --> 00:31:58,640 probably do because you're 760 00:32:02,230 --> 00:32:00,720 into paranoid conspiracy theories maybe 761 00:32:04,149 --> 00:32:02,240 it's time you got news leadership 762 00:32:08,789 --> 00:32:04,159 because your current leadership 763 00:32:10,149 --> 00:32:08,799 have let you down utterly 764 00:32:11,430 --> 00:32:10,159 maybe i shouldn't be giving you that 765 00:32:12,470 --> 00:32:11,440 advice no stick with the current 766 00:32:16,070 --> 00:32:12,480 leadership 767 00:32:17,509 --> 00:32:16,080 i'm sure they'll come good one day 768 00:32:28,270 --> 00:32:17,519 so that's great news coming out of 769 00:32:31,830 --> 00:32:28,280 australia for vaccination rates 770 00:32:37,269 --> 00:32:34,549 hi this is heidi robertson from the 771 00:32:39,750 --> 00:32:37,279 northern rivers vaccination supporters 772 00:32:41,990 --> 00:32:39,760 we are a group of concerned citizens 773 00:32:43,909 --> 00:32:42,000 dedicated to promoting good science and 774 00:32:46,870 --> 00:32:43,919 common sense in our region 775 00:32:47,669 --> 00:32:46,880 the far north coast of new south wales 776 00:32:49,509 --> 00:32:47,679 this area 777 00:32:51,269 --> 00:32:49,519 famous for its natural beauty and 778 00:32:53,909 --> 00:32:51,279 relaxed lifestyle 779 00:32:55,669 --> 00:32:53,919 also has the lowest rates of vaccination 780 00:32:58,070 --> 00:32:55,679 in australia 781 00:33:00,149 --> 00:32:58,080 we are out to change that by challenging 782 00:33:02,470 --> 00:33:00,159 the myths and misinformation 783 00:33:05,029 --> 00:33:02,480 and by providing good evidence-based 784 00:33:07,029 --> 00:33:05,039 information to the community 785 00:33:08,149 --> 00:33:07,039 we'd love for you no matter where you 786 00:33:11,110 --> 00:33:08,159 are in the world 787 00:33:12,389 --> 00:33:11,120 to join our fight please visit our 788 00:33:17,909 --> 00:33:12,399 webpage 789 00:33:19,509 --> 00:33:17,919 at www.nrvs.info 790 00:33:21,110 --> 00:33:19,519 we also have a link there to our 791 00:33:24,630 --> 00:33:21,120 facebook page 792 00:33:27,909 --> 00:33:24,640 tweet us at nrvax supporters 793 00:33:29,190 --> 00:33:27,919 that's vax and check us out on wikipedia 794 00:33:32,310 --> 00:33:29,200 by searching for 795 00:33:38,740 --> 00:33:32,320 northern rivers vaccination supporters 796 00:33:52,870 --> 00:33:38,750 thank you 797 00:33:54,950 --> 00:33:52,880 [Music] 798 00:33:56,310 --> 00:33:54,960 and now we continue our story from the 799 00:33:59,190 --> 00:33:56,320 trove archive 800 00:34:00,549 --> 00:33:59,200 into the unknown published in the sun 801 00:34:07,029 --> 00:34:00,559 newspaper in 802 00:34:10,310 --> 00:34:07,039 1950 in sydney australia 803 00:34:12,550 --> 00:34:10,320 and this is the reporting of tests into 804 00:34:13,990 --> 00:34:12,560 the unknown into spiritualism into 805 00:34:15,349 --> 00:34:14,000 psychics into clairvoyance and 806 00:34:17,270 --> 00:34:15,359 clairaudience 807 00:34:19,190 --> 00:34:17,280 and if you recall last week the panel of 808 00:34:23,829 --> 00:34:19,200 dare we say experts 809 00:34:26,109 --> 00:34:23,839 was interviewing robert dell about his 810 00:34:28,069 --> 00:34:26,119 paranormal experiences and his 811 00:34:35,349 --> 00:34:28,079 clairvoyance 812 00:34:37,589 --> 00:34:35,359 clear audience and mediumship 813 00:34:39,709 --> 00:34:37,599 let's pick up the story with the last 814 00:34:44,710 --> 00:34:39,719 couple of paragraphs from last week 815 00:34:47,510 --> 00:34:44,720 [Music] 816 00:34:48,629 --> 00:34:47,520 the medium received the name of karen 817 00:34:51,510 --> 00:34:48,639 which was 818 00:34:53,990 --> 00:34:51,520 recognized by dr bendent who said that 819 00:34:57,800 --> 00:34:54,000 if it is the name he had in mind 820 00:35:00,470 --> 00:34:57,810 the man is very much alive 821 00:35:02,550 --> 00:35:00,480 [Music] 822 00:35:05,030 --> 00:35:02,560 dell said he felt certain this name was 823 00:35:07,670 --> 00:35:05,040 connected with the medical profession 824 00:35:10,069 --> 00:35:07,680 when dr benden said he had not contacted 825 00:35:12,910 --> 00:35:10,079 the individual for about 20 years 826 00:35:15,589 --> 00:35:12,920 he was told that this is going to be an 827 00:35:18,310 --> 00:35:15,599 association again 828 00:35:19,270 --> 00:35:18,320 dell continued you will get the 829 00:35:22,150 --> 00:35:19,280 connection 830 00:35:23,430 --> 00:35:22,160 with this man somewhere there is going 831 00:35:26,310 --> 00:35:23,440 to be a kind of a 832 00:35:27,030 --> 00:35:26,320 conference you will have some linking up 833 00:35:28,710 --> 00:35:27,040 again 834 00:35:30,390 --> 00:35:28,720 something will come out of it which will 835 00:35:33,750 --> 00:35:30,400 be very 836 00:35:35,670 --> 00:35:33,760 interesting something medical there will 837 00:35:38,230 --> 00:35:35,680 be a board of some kind 838 00:35:39,750 --> 00:35:38,240 i feel there will be a group of men 839 00:35:43,190 --> 00:35:39,760 something will come out of this 840 00:35:46,390 --> 00:35:43,200 which will bring you some advantage 841 00:35:47,190 --> 00:35:46,400 and a certain peace of mind are you 842 00:35:50,069 --> 00:35:47,200 making 843 00:35:50,630 --> 00:35:50,079 some type of experiment i feel that you 844 00:35:53,910 --> 00:35:50,640 are 845 00:35:56,829 --> 00:35:53,920 probing not into spiritualism 846 00:35:59,190 --> 00:35:56,839 something of a scientific atmosphere 847 00:36:02,069 --> 00:35:59,200 here there is a 848 00:36:04,069 --> 00:36:02,079 gentleman here from the other side of 849 00:36:06,069 --> 00:36:04,079 life who feels he will be 850 00:36:07,430 --> 00:36:06,079 able to pass something through your 851 00:36:09,829 --> 00:36:07,440 brain 852 00:36:12,230 --> 00:36:09,839 is there someone in your family who is 853 00:36:14,150 --> 00:36:12,240 connected with the medical profession 854 00:36:16,150 --> 00:36:14,160 the spirit is trying to help with some 855 00:36:18,630 --> 00:36:16,160 kind of experiment or 856 00:36:19,589 --> 00:36:18,640 research in reply to another sitter's 857 00:36:22,470 --> 00:36:19,599 question 858 00:36:23,829 --> 00:36:22,480 have i got mediumistic powers dell 859 00:36:26,710 --> 00:36:23,839 replied 860 00:36:27,510 --> 00:36:26,720 i can't say mediumistic powers are 861 00:36:30,710 --> 00:36:27,520 spoken of 862 00:36:34,550 --> 00:36:30,720 so glibly i will only say 863 00:36:37,030 --> 00:36:34,560 i know you can heal dell said he could 864 00:36:40,150 --> 00:36:37,040 hear a young girl calling the name 865 00:36:42,349 --> 00:36:40,160 of muriel this spirit passed away 866 00:36:43,990 --> 00:36:42,359 when she was about 20 years old with 867 00:36:47,510 --> 00:36:44,000 tuberculosis 868 00:36:50,310 --> 00:36:47,520 and has been over a considerable time 869 00:36:50,710 --> 00:36:50,320 lady anderson pointed out that her name 870 00:36:53,349 --> 00:36:50,720 is 871 00:36:53,990 --> 00:36:53,359 muriel but the medium did not feel the 872 00:36:56,870 --> 00:36:54,000 message was 873 00:36:57,670 --> 00:36:56,880 for her there was also the name of 874 00:37:02,069 --> 00:36:57,680 howard or 875 00:37:03,349 --> 00:37:02,079 howarth a surname dr bendent knew this 876 00:37:06,550 --> 00:37:03,359 name but didn't know the 877 00:37:08,630 --> 00:37:06,560 girl he was asked 878 00:37:09,910 --> 00:37:08,640 is there any connection here with 879 00:37:12,870 --> 00:37:09,920 australia 880 00:37:15,430 --> 00:37:12,880 the medium said he could see the outline 881 00:37:18,550 --> 00:37:15,440 of a map that looked like australia 882 00:37:20,550 --> 00:37:18,560 and lady anderson explained 883 00:37:22,069 --> 00:37:20,560 that she knew a girl in australia who 884 00:37:25,190 --> 00:37:22,079 passed over at the age of 885 00:37:27,430 --> 00:37:25,200 20. the medium came back to dr bendent 886 00:37:29,510 --> 00:37:27,440 with a man who passed over as a result 887 00:37:31,990 --> 00:37:29,520 of a motorcycle accident 888 00:37:32,870 --> 00:37:32,000 there was a crash he also gave the name 889 00:37:35,510 --> 00:37:32,880 of margaret 890 00:37:36,550 --> 00:37:35,520 who died in a childbirth connected with 891 00:37:39,589 --> 00:37:36,560 his mother's 892 00:37:43,190 --> 00:37:39,599 family the medium couldn't describe her 893 00:37:46,310 --> 00:37:43,200 and dr bendent could not recognize her 894 00:37:48,630 --> 00:37:46,320 mr dell went to mrs haldane 895 00:37:49,750 --> 00:37:48,640 with a gentleman who wore an imperial 896 00:37:53,109 --> 00:37:49,760 beard 897 00:37:57,030 --> 00:37:53,119 he faded and the name of hill 898 00:37:57,430 --> 00:37:57,040 was heard also agnes mrs held they knew 899 00:38:06,550 --> 00:37:57,440 the 900 00:38:09,589 --> 00:38:06,560 john was given 901 00:38:11,829 --> 00:38:09,599 on her father's side of the family mrs 902 00:38:14,470 --> 00:38:11,839 haldane said her father passed with 903 00:38:15,829 --> 00:38:14,480 part trouble but the medium said this 904 00:38:18,870 --> 00:38:15,839 was not the same 905 00:38:20,150 --> 00:38:18,880 feeling there was a young lady also who 906 00:38:23,190 --> 00:38:20,160 must have died near 907 00:38:24,790 --> 00:38:23,200 her wedding day dell said he first saw a 908 00:38:28,150 --> 00:38:24,800 wedding dress and then a 909 00:38:30,950 --> 00:38:28,160 spirit robe he said 910 00:38:31,349 --> 00:38:30,960 there was someone rather elderly who 911 00:38:34,230 --> 00:38:31,359 would 912 00:38:35,349 --> 00:38:34,240 know about this rather better than mrs 913 00:38:37,430 --> 00:38:35,359 haldane 914 00:38:39,430 --> 00:38:37,440 he said the girl was either just about 915 00:38:40,710 --> 00:38:39,440 to be married or had been married a very 916 00:38:43,750 --> 00:38:40,720 short time 917 00:38:46,870 --> 00:38:43,760 dell then heard the name of goldstein or 918 00:38:49,030 --> 00:38:46,880 something that sounded jewish lord 919 00:38:51,109 --> 00:38:49,040 amwell was interested in this 920 00:38:52,710 --> 00:38:51,119 asked if he could get something more 921 00:38:56,310 --> 00:38:52,720 with it the name of 922 00:38:57,349 --> 00:38:56,320 lou came and the medium said to lord 923 00:39:01,030 --> 00:38:57,359 amwell 924 00:39:04,630 --> 00:39:01,040 as i look at you i seem to be 925 00:39:07,109 --> 00:39:04,640 wearing a gold albert this is 926 00:39:07,910 --> 00:39:07,119 back in your father's side of the family 927 00:39:11,190 --> 00:39:07,920 is there such 928 00:39:14,550 --> 00:39:11,200 a chain in the family that was a present 929 00:39:16,950 --> 00:39:14,560 the names of mabel and anna or hannah 930 00:39:18,470 --> 00:39:16,960 were mentioned and a woman who wore a 931 00:39:20,550 --> 00:39:18,480 black dress 932 00:39:23,270 --> 00:39:20,560 she had been ill for a long time before 933 00:39:24,310 --> 00:39:23,280 passing on lord amwell's side of the 934 00:39:27,510 --> 00:39:24,320 family 935 00:39:28,310 --> 00:39:27,520 dell said i want to go to the north of 936 00:39:30,630 --> 00:39:28,320 england 937 00:39:32,550 --> 00:39:30,640 are your people connected with the north 938 00:39:35,589 --> 00:39:32,560 very near scotland 939 00:39:38,950 --> 00:39:35,599 lancashire replied lord amwell 940 00:39:41,750 --> 00:39:38,960 after a few more minutes the medium said 941 00:39:41,990 --> 00:39:41,760 he felt the power had gone and he could 942 00:39:44,470 --> 00:39:42,000 do 943 00:39:46,470 --> 00:39:44,480 no more he was asked how he 944 00:39:50,230 --> 00:39:46,480 distinguished between spirit 945 00:39:54,069 --> 00:39:50,240 form and thought form and explained that 946 00:39:54,950 --> 00:39:54,079 he does not see the eyes with the spirit 947 00:39:57,910 --> 00:39:54,960 form 948 00:39:59,030 --> 00:39:57,920 and so can usually tell it from thought 949 00:40:06,230 --> 00:39:59,040 form 950 00:40:09,349 --> 00:40:06,240 details are there he continued 951 00:40:11,430 --> 00:40:09,359 when i was in the royal air force 952 00:40:13,030 --> 00:40:11,440 i was stationed up north and had a 953 00:40:15,589 --> 00:40:13,040 friend who was flying 954 00:40:17,750 --> 00:40:15,599 i knew that one night he would not come 955 00:40:20,470 --> 00:40:17,760 back and once he said to me 956 00:40:22,309 --> 00:40:20,480 what do the spooks say am i going to 957 00:40:26,309 --> 00:40:22,319 come back 958 00:40:28,790 --> 00:40:26,319 when you do 959 00:40:29,349 --> 00:40:28,800 come along and see me he asked me what 960 00:40:32,710 --> 00:40:29,359 for 961 00:40:34,630 --> 00:40:32,720 and i said i just wanted a natter 962 00:40:36,790 --> 00:40:34,640 three o'clock the following morning i 963 00:40:40,069 --> 00:40:36,800 saw him as clearly as anything 964 00:40:42,230 --> 00:40:40,079 but his eyes were blurred at once i knew 965 00:40:45,510 --> 00:40:42,240 he was spirit and definitely not 966 00:40:48,069 --> 00:40:45,520 thought form i didn't hear him speak 967 00:40:49,109 --> 00:40:48,079 i said to him paddy you're one of the 968 00:40:51,589 --> 00:40:49,119 spooks 969 00:40:52,630 --> 00:40:51,599 and soon afterwards we learnt in the hut 970 00:40:54,630 --> 00:40:52,640 that he had 971 00:40:56,069 --> 00:40:54,640 been one of the casualties of the 972 00:40:58,470 --> 00:40:56,079 night's operations 973 00:40:59,829 --> 00:40:58,480 since that occasion i have contacted him 974 00:41:03,349 --> 00:40:59,839 many times 975 00:41:05,109 --> 00:41:03,359 the medium related a family incident 976 00:41:06,390 --> 00:41:05,119 which confirmed his own faith in 977 00:41:09,109 --> 00:41:06,400 spiritualism 978 00:41:10,150 --> 00:41:09,119 and the incident which has been 979 00:41:13,670 --> 00:41:10,160 cross-checked 980 00:41:16,790 --> 00:41:13,680 with admiralty records is given here 981 00:41:19,349 --> 00:41:16,800 in dell's own words one of the most 982 00:41:21,270 --> 00:41:19,359 outstanding psychic experiences 983 00:41:23,349 --> 00:41:21,280 happened in connection with my own 984 00:41:25,030 --> 00:41:23,359 family during the time i was on leave 985 00:41:27,750 --> 00:41:25,040 from the royal air force 986 00:41:28,230 --> 00:41:27,760 i was very distressed at reading in the 987 00:41:31,349 --> 00:41:28,240 south 988 00:41:34,309 --> 00:41:31,359 wales echo the headline hms 989 00:41:35,510 --> 00:41:34,319 dorsets here sunk feared heavy loss of 990 00:41:38,069 --> 00:41:35,520 life 991 00:41:39,270 --> 00:41:38,079 the reason for my distress was that my 992 00:41:41,910 --> 00:41:39,280 favorite nephew 993 00:41:42,710 --> 00:41:41,920 a.b leslie stevens was serving on the 994 00:41:45,270 --> 00:41:42,720 hms 995 00:41:46,790 --> 00:41:45,280 dorset sheer my first dreadful feeling 996 00:41:50,470 --> 00:41:46,800 was that my 997 00:41:53,430 --> 00:41:50,480 leslie was drowned about an hour later 998 00:41:55,270 --> 00:41:53,440 i went into my lounge at home still 999 00:41:56,710 --> 00:41:55,280 feeling sure in my own mind that my 1000 00:41:58,069 --> 00:41:56,720 nephew must have been one of the 1001 00:42:00,630 --> 00:41:58,079 unfortunate ones 1002 00:42:02,550 --> 00:42:00,640 after a few minutes had passed i saw 1003 00:42:05,990 --> 00:42:02,560 quite clearly the spirit 1004 00:42:09,190 --> 00:42:06,000 of my mother who said go and tell 1005 00:42:10,230 --> 00:42:09,200 lillian that leslie is safe he has been 1006 00:42:13,750 --> 00:42:10,240 in the water of 1007 00:42:17,109 --> 00:42:13,760 36 hours he has a shrapnel 1008 00:42:20,150 --> 00:42:17,119 wound in the left leg 1009 00:42:23,510 --> 00:42:20,160 he will come home lillian my sister 1010 00:42:26,630 --> 00:42:23,520 the mother of leslie had always 1011 00:42:28,630 --> 00:42:26,640 been opposed to spiritualism however 1012 00:42:30,309 --> 00:42:28,640 i went to my sister's home which is on 1013 00:42:32,950 --> 00:42:30,319 the other side of cardiff 1014 00:42:33,990 --> 00:42:32,960 on arriving there i found a house of 1015 00:42:35,910 --> 00:42:34,000 sorrow 1016 00:42:38,870 --> 00:42:35,920 and trying to appear as cheerful as 1017 00:42:40,150 --> 00:42:38,880 possible i asked if anyone would make me 1018 00:42:41,829 --> 00:42:40,160 a cup of tea 1019 00:42:43,990 --> 00:42:41,839 they looked at me with a shocked 1020 00:42:47,829 --> 00:42:44,000 expression and said haven't you heard 1021 00:42:50,950 --> 00:42:47,839 the news leslie's ship has been sunk 1022 00:42:51,750 --> 00:42:50,960 i said oh yes i have read that in the 1023 00:42:54,870 --> 00:42:51,760 echo 1024 00:42:58,230 --> 00:42:54,880 but i am sure les is safe 1025 00:43:01,349 --> 00:42:58,240 turning to my sister i said i have never 1026 00:43:04,230 --> 00:43:01,359 spoken to you about spiritualism before 1027 00:43:05,589 --> 00:43:04,240 but tonight i have spoken to mother i 1028 00:43:08,870 --> 00:43:05,599 saw her quite clearly 1029 00:43:11,270 --> 00:43:08,880 and she told me that leslie is all right 1030 00:43:12,870 --> 00:43:11,280 and he has been in the water for 36 1031 00:43:15,990 --> 00:43:12,880 hours and he has a 1032 00:43:19,109 --> 00:43:16,000 shrapnel wound in his left leg 1033 00:43:21,270 --> 00:43:19,119 but he is safe and will come home 1034 00:43:22,309 --> 00:43:21,280 years ago you tried to make me give up 1035 00:43:25,030 --> 00:43:22,319 spiritualism 1036 00:43:26,309 --> 00:43:25,040 but i wouldn't now if what i have told 1037 00:43:28,870 --> 00:43:26,319 you is not right 1038 00:43:30,790 --> 00:43:28,880 i will give it up and never go into a 1039 00:43:32,790 --> 00:43:30,800 spiritualist church again 1040 00:43:34,870 --> 00:43:32,800 not because i don't believe it but 1041 00:43:38,150 --> 00:43:34,880 because if it cannot give 1042 00:43:40,950 --> 00:43:38,160 you some comfort the one person 1043 00:43:42,870 --> 00:43:40,960 in the world i want to help most then i 1044 00:43:43,750 --> 00:43:42,880 am not in a position to give comfort to 1045 00:43:46,870 --> 00:43:43,760 those whom 1046 00:43:48,309 --> 00:43:46,880 i do not know but i am quite sure that 1047 00:43:50,950 --> 00:43:48,319 leslie is all right 1048 00:43:53,589 --> 00:43:50,960 and will come home it was about eight 1049 00:43:56,390 --> 00:43:53,599 days before we had a cable from leslie 1050 00:43:58,550 --> 00:43:56,400 he was in a hospital in durban where a 1051 00:44:01,750 --> 00:43:58,560 good number of survivors were 1052 00:44:03,990 --> 00:44:01,760 being cared for it was six months before 1053 00:44:07,349 --> 00:44:04,000 he came home to cardiff and told us that 1054 00:44:09,589 --> 00:44:07,359 he had been in the water for 36 hours 1055 00:44:10,470 --> 00:44:09,599 and that japs had machine gun them from 1056 00:44:13,910 --> 00:44:10,480 the air 1057 00:44:16,870 --> 00:44:13,920 and he got some shrapnel in his left leg 1058 00:44:18,950 --> 00:44:16,880 and so i continue in the work trying to 1059 00:44:21,430 --> 00:44:18,960 bring comfort to others with 1060 00:44:23,190 --> 00:44:21,440 the sure knowledge that my mother who 1061 00:44:27,030 --> 00:44:23,200 had been passed over for 1062 00:44:30,230 --> 00:44:27,040 38 years can and does help me 1063 00:44:32,950 --> 00:44:30,240 just as the relatives and friends of us 1064 00:44:33,430 --> 00:44:32,960 all on the other side of life tried to 1065 00:44:37,030 --> 00:44:33,440 help 1066 00:44:38,630 --> 00:44:37,040 us on earth when possible and the next 1067 00:44:42,950 --> 00:44:38,640 section says 1068 00:44:44,790 --> 00:44:42,960 panel's report lord amwell 1069 00:44:47,109 --> 00:44:44,800 this clairvoyant and several 1070 00:44:50,150 --> 00:44:47,119 recognitions from among the panel 1071 00:44:53,109 --> 00:44:50,160 about which they and not i 1072 00:44:54,630 --> 00:44:53,119 can speak i agreed to evidence of 1073 00:44:57,910 --> 00:44:54,640 psychic power 1074 00:44:59,750 --> 00:44:57,920 dr benden very sketchy paranormal 1075 00:45:01,910 --> 00:44:59,760 cognition was shown 1076 00:45:04,150 --> 00:45:01,920 there was no evidence that he was 1077 00:45:05,109 --> 00:45:04,160 actually in touch with any discarnate 1078 00:45:07,510 --> 00:45:05,119 entity 1079 00:45:09,030 --> 00:45:07,520 and that he was doing anything more than 1080 00:45:12,390 --> 00:45:09,040 picking up rather 1081 00:45:13,349 --> 00:45:12,400 erratically memories etc in the sitter's 1082 00:45:15,910 --> 00:45:13,359 minds 1083 00:45:17,750 --> 00:45:15,920 in my case he was completely and 1084 00:45:20,069 --> 00:45:17,760 entirely at sea 1085 00:45:20,870 --> 00:45:20,079 assuming my family records to be correct 1086 00:45:24,870 --> 00:45:20,880 there has been 1087 00:45:25,990 --> 00:45:24,880 nobody of the name of margaret for 150 1088 00:45:28,069 --> 00:45:26,000 years at least 1089 00:45:29,190 --> 00:45:28,079 nor have i known anybody who died in 1090 00:45:30,950 --> 00:45:29,200 childbirth 1091 00:45:32,390 --> 00:45:30,960 it was interesting to note that he 1092 00:45:35,430 --> 00:45:32,400 tended to follow up 1093 00:45:36,710 --> 00:45:35,440 any lead given him either immediately or 1094 00:45:39,430 --> 00:45:36,720 as soon as he could 1095 00:45:40,470 --> 00:45:39,440 reasonably diverge from the person he 1096 00:45:43,589 --> 00:45:40,480 was talking to 1097 00:45:45,990 --> 00:45:43,599 to somebody more responsive 1098 00:45:46,950 --> 00:45:46,000 i have little doubt that mr dell is 1099 00:45:50,230 --> 00:45:46,960 psychic 1100 00:45:52,950 --> 00:45:50,240 he seems to have some precognitive flair 1101 00:45:54,150 --> 00:45:52,960 i am equally convinced that clairvoyance 1102 00:45:57,349 --> 00:45:54,160 properly studied 1103 00:46:00,550 --> 00:45:57,359 with the right training need not be 1104 00:46:03,270 --> 00:46:00,560 the erratic faculty which he says it is 1105 00:46:05,270 --> 00:46:03,280 moreover i am unconvinced as to his 1106 00:46:07,829 --> 00:46:05,280 explanation about the 1107 00:46:08,550 --> 00:46:07,839 difference between spirits and thought 1108 00:46:10,790 --> 00:46:08,560 forms 1109 00:46:11,670 --> 00:46:10,800 although i know there is a difference in 1110 00:46:14,870 --> 00:46:11,680 any case 1111 00:46:15,829 --> 00:46:14,880 he gave nothing evidential of survival 1112 00:46:19,510 --> 00:46:15,839 after death 1113 00:46:23,430 --> 00:46:19,520 nor anything to support the basis of 1114 00:46:26,550 --> 00:46:23,440 spiritualist doctrine later than this 1115 00:46:28,309 --> 00:46:26,560 session i did it is to have professional 1116 00:46:32,309 --> 00:46:28,319 connection in a way that 1117 00:46:35,190 --> 00:46:32,319 might have brought me in contact with dr 1118 00:46:37,510 --> 00:46:35,200 karan but this particular matter did not 1119 00:46:41,030 --> 00:46:37,520 reach a successful conclusion 1120 00:46:44,390 --> 00:46:41,040 and i did not in fact see him 1121 00:46:47,349 --> 00:46:44,400 mrs haldane this gentleman said nothing 1122 00:46:49,829 --> 00:46:47,359 which had any special relevance for me 1123 00:46:50,710 --> 00:46:49,839 he used certain phrases that seemed to 1124 00:46:53,750 --> 00:46:50,720 be rather 1125 00:46:56,230 --> 00:46:53,760 in the nature of mediums cliches 1126 00:46:57,109 --> 00:46:56,240 he was also using a great deal of 1127 00:47:01,270 --> 00:46:57,119 suggestion 1128 00:47:04,550 --> 00:47:01,280 which for some might well be effective 1129 00:47:05,030 --> 00:47:04,560 canon knight this sensitive claim to 1130 00:47:08,069 --> 00:47:05,040 possess 1131 00:47:09,990 --> 00:47:08,079 clairvoyant and clear audient powers in 1132 00:47:14,150 --> 00:47:10,000 any account of previous remarkable 1133 00:47:17,190 --> 00:47:14,160 episodes as for example his knowledge of 1134 00:47:18,309 --> 00:47:17,200 the exact details of a relative's rescue 1135 00:47:20,950 --> 00:47:18,319 from shipwreck 1136 00:47:23,270 --> 00:47:20,960 we had to rely upon his own account 1137 00:47:23,510 --> 00:47:23,280 there were some possible opportunities 1138 00:47:27,829 --> 00:47:23,520 of 1139 00:47:30,630 --> 00:47:27,839 and i should value their comment 1140 00:47:31,670 --> 00:47:30,640 for example dr bendent and the name 1141 00:47:34,790 --> 00:47:31,680 curran 1142 00:47:35,750 --> 00:47:34,800 i had no personal references to check i 1143 00:47:38,950 --> 00:47:35,760 did not find 1144 00:47:42,150 --> 00:47:38,960 dell impressive he switched to 1145 00:47:45,190 --> 00:47:42,160 and fro rapidly from this world to 1146 00:47:47,109 --> 00:47:45,200 the other in two easier way surely the 1147 00:47:50,150 --> 00:47:47,119 degree of accessibility 1148 00:47:53,270 --> 00:47:50,160 is slower than dell's seems to be 1149 00:47:54,230 --> 00:47:53,280 one felt he was possibly moving to and 1150 00:47:57,190 --> 00:47:54,240 fro 1151 00:47:57,710 --> 00:47:57,200 within his own consciousness on two 1152 00:48:02,710 --> 00:47:57,720 levels 1153 00:48:04,470 --> 00:48:02,720 [Music] 1154 00:48:06,069 --> 00:48:04,480 and now we'll leave that part of the 1155 00:48:10,470 --> 00:48:06,079 report with mixed 1156 00:48:18,470 --> 00:48:14,150 in next week's gripping episode we have 1157 00:48:21,589 --> 00:48:18,480 an australian ultra sensitive 1158 00:48:23,670 --> 00:48:21,599 an australian alfred rayner of sydney 1159 00:48:25,030 --> 00:48:23,680 was one of the mediums who offered to 1160 00:48:27,140 --> 00:48:25,040 assist the panel 1161 00:48:32,790 --> 00:48:27,150 in its investigations 1162 00:48:35,589 --> 00:48:32,800 [Music] 1163 00:48:37,430 --> 00:48:35,599 and that was into the unknown our 1164 00:48:39,510 --> 00:48:37,440 continuing series about 1165 00:48:41,430 --> 00:48:39,520 reports of testing clairvoyance and 1166 00:48:42,549 --> 00:48:41,440 spiritualism in the supernatural and 1167 00:48:46,150 --> 00:48:42,559 psychics 1168 00:48:47,190 --> 00:48:46,160 way back in 1950 that appeared in the 1169 00:48:50,549 --> 00:48:47,200 color magazine 1170 00:48:52,470 --> 00:48:50,559 sunday sun supplement and 1171 00:48:54,309 --> 00:48:52,480 that particular passage i was reading 1172 00:49:05,030 --> 00:48:54,319 appeared on the 24th 1173 00:49:08,549 --> 00:49:06,309 and you can read all about the 1174 00:49:09,270 --> 00:49:08,559 adventures of the investigating panel 1175 00:49:13,990 --> 00:49:09,280 for yourself 1176 00:49:16,840 --> 00:49:14,000 by diving into trove at trove.nla.gov 1177 00:49:33,430 --> 00:49:16,850 dot a u 1178 00:49:36,870 --> 00:49:35,030 thank you for listening to the skeptic 1179 00:49:37,510 --> 00:49:36,880 zone and thank you thank you thank you 1180 00:49:38,870 --> 00:49:37,520 thank you 1181 00:49:41,190 --> 00:49:38,880 to those people who chip into the 1182 00:49:42,710 --> 00:49:41,200 skeptic zone via paypal or patreon and 1183 00:49:45,829 --> 00:49:42,720 welcome to the new 1184 00:49:47,510 --> 00:49:45,839 patreon and paypal um supporters who 1185 00:49:48,309 --> 00:49:47,520 have come on board in the last week or 1186 00:49:50,470 --> 00:49:48,319 two 1187 00:49:52,230 --> 00:49:50,480 your contributions mean the show keeps 1188 00:49:53,190 --> 00:49:52,240 going and everybody else can enjoy the 1189 00:49:55,990 --> 00:49:53,200 show 1190 00:49:56,790 --> 00:49:56,000 thank you did i say thank you yes thank 1191 00:49:58,870 --> 00:49:56,800 you very much 1192 00:50:01,470 --> 00:49:58,880 and if you want to chip in help keep the 1193 00:50:04,309 --> 00:50:01,480 show going just head to 1194 00:50:05,910 --> 00:50:04,319 skepticzone.tv and of course you can see 1195 00:50:06,710 --> 00:50:05,920 there all the show notes from every 1196 00:50:08,230 --> 00:50:06,720 episode 1197 00:50:09,670 --> 00:50:08,240 coming up on next week's show more 1198 00:50:11,030 --> 00:50:09,680 logical fallacies with michelle 1199 00:50:13,670 --> 00:50:11,040 bickersma 1200 00:50:15,510 --> 00:50:13,680 more in our series into the unknown and 1201 00:50:16,950 --> 00:50:15,520 this time we look at an australian 1202 00:50:20,549 --> 00:50:16,960 mystic 1203 00:50:23,829 --> 00:50:20,559 and i think i think we might be hearing 1204 00:50:24,870 --> 00:50:23,839 a new adventure from the skeptical fairy 1205 00:50:27,589 --> 00:50:24,880 godmother 1206 00:50:28,710 --> 00:50:27,599 angel but for this week this is richard 1207 00:50:35,030 --> 00:50:28,720 saunders signing off 1208 00:50:38,230 --> 00:50:36,790 you've been listening to the skeptic 1209 00:50:41,470 --> 00:50:38,240 zone podcast 1210 00:50:42,790 --> 00:50:41,480 please visit our website at 1211 00:50:45,910 --> 00:50:42,800 www.skepticzone.tv 1212 00:50:47,910 --> 00:50:45,920 for show notes contacts and to access 1213 00:50:51,430 --> 00:50:47,920 the back catalog of episodes 1214 00:50:53,510 --> 00:50:51,440 going back to 2008. you can follow the 1215 00:50:56,950 --> 00:50:53,520 skeptic zone podcast on twitter 1216 00:51:00,470 --> 00:50:56,960 at skepticzone visit our facebook page 1217 00:51:01,829 --> 00:51:00,480 or leave a review on itunes you can also 1218 00:51:05,109 --> 00:51:01,839 support the skeptic zone 1219 00:51:05,829 --> 00:51:05,119 via patreon or paypal the skeptic zone 1220 00:51:08,710 --> 00:51:05,839 podcast 1221 00:51:10,549 --> 00:51:08,720 is an independent production the views 1222 00:51:10,950 --> 00:51:10,559 and opinions expressed on the skeptic 1223 00:51:12,950 --> 00:51:10,960 zone 1224 00:51:14,870 --> 00:51:12,960 are not necessarily those of australian 1225 00:51:29,829 --> 00:51:14,880 skeptics or any other 1226 00:51:35,109 --> 00:51:31,349 hello to the afterthoughts the people 1227 00:51:38,549 --> 00:51:36,470 i don't know if it's the weather but my 1228 00:51:39,430 --> 00:51:38,559 voice is really on the edge of 1229 00:51:42,069 --> 00:51:39,440 disappearing 1230 00:51:43,750 --> 00:51:42,079 hmm don't know why anyway it's time to 1231 00:51:44,870 --> 00:51:43,760 play the dice game this is where i roll 1232 00:51:47,510 --> 00:51:44,880 a dye a dice 1233 00:51:48,790 --> 00:51:47,520 two dice three dice four dice mice 1234 00:51:50,390 --> 00:51:48,800 something 1235 00:51:52,950 --> 00:51:50,400 ice i should have ice today that's what 1236 00:51:54,390 --> 00:51:52,960 i should have a nice cool drink with ice 1237 00:51:57,910 --> 00:51:54,400 and 1238 00:52:01,510 --> 00:51:57,920 i've got 2d tens 1239 00:52:05,190 --> 00:52:01,520 a bit of a a difference where's my 1240 00:52:07,270 --> 00:52:05,200 where's my notepad which i call the 1241 00:52:08,870 --> 00:52:07,280 skeptics i note that in my normal pen 1242 00:52:10,390 --> 00:52:08,880 which i call a skeptic's own pen here we 1243 00:52:12,630 --> 00:52:10,400 go 1244 00:52:14,309 --> 00:52:12,640 all right the numbers down so the idea 1245 00:52:17,670 --> 00:52:14,319 is i'm going to roll these 1246 00:52:19,430 --> 00:52:17,680 in my dice rolling contraption thank you 1247 00:52:20,470 --> 00:52:19,440 greg doray from the bay area for sending 1248 00:52:22,549 --> 00:52:20,480 that 1249 00:52:24,309 --> 00:52:22,559 and you get to use your psychic power or 1250 00:52:25,750 --> 00:52:24,319 your dumb luck and guess which numbers 1251 00:52:28,950 --> 00:52:25,760 are going to come up 1252 00:52:30,390 --> 00:52:28,960 so you've got two 1253 00:52:33,109 --> 00:52:30,400 chances each time i'm going to roll 1254 00:52:37,349 --> 00:52:33,119 these both three times 1255 00:52:38,950 --> 00:52:37,359 as a plane comes overhead 1256 00:52:40,549 --> 00:52:38,960 oh well i don't care it's the dice part 1257 00:52:43,030 --> 00:52:40,559 of the show planes can 1258 00:52:44,230 --> 00:52:43,040 come overhead the neighbors can renovate 1259 00:52:48,630 --> 00:52:44,240 their kitchen and the 1260 00:52:50,470 --> 00:52:48,640 birds can chirp here we go so guess away 1261 00:52:52,069 --> 00:52:50,480 you can either guess two numbers or one 1262 00:52:55,430 --> 00:52:52,079 number from 1263 00:52:58,829 --> 00:52:56,950 two dice go through the first number 1264 00:53:02,390 --> 00:52:58,839 coming up is 1265 00:53:05,510 --> 00:53:02,400 one the second number is 1266 00:53:07,829 --> 00:53:05,520 six so you can either think well that is 1267 00:53:11,910 --> 00:53:07,839 sixteen or it's one 1268 00:53:15,109 --> 00:53:11,920 and a six okay second time 1269 00:53:18,309 --> 00:53:15,119 first number that's come up is five 1270 00:53:20,950 --> 00:53:18,319 and what's this six again 1271 00:53:22,150 --> 00:53:20,960 there you go five you see there you are 1272 00:53:26,470 --> 00:53:22,160 susan gerbic 1273 00:53:33,430 --> 00:53:30,309 we have ten and 1274 00:53:36,630 --> 00:53:33,440 nine so 1275 00:53:38,309 --> 00:53:36,640 today's winning numbers are yes there's 1276 00:53:39,030 --> 00:53:38,319 the bird the bird outside must be 1277 00:53:42,710 --> 00:53:39,040 playing two 1278 00:53:45,750 --> 00:53:42,720 one six five six 1279 00:53:47,030 --> 00:53:45,760 ten and nine and the supplementary the 1280 00:53:48,290 --> 00:53:47,040 supplementary out of ten 1281 00:53:51,030 --> 00:53:48,300 is 1282 00:53:56,390 --> 00:53:51,040 [Music]